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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3AM-4AM ET | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 12AM-1AM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1AM-2AM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2AM-3AM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4AM-5AM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5AM-6AM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6AM-7AM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 7AM-8AM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 8AM-9AM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 9AM-10AM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10AM-11AM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 11AM-12PM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 12PM-1PM ET | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 1PM-2PM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2PM-3PM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3PM-4PM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4PM-5PM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5PM-6PM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6PM-7PM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 7PM-8PM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 8PM-9PM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 9PM-10PM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10PM-11PM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 11PM-12AM ET | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to the hourly candle on the date specified in the title during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change. The “Change” value shown for each hourly candle will be used. An hourly candle is considered finalized once the following hourly candle is published. The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT If Binance shows the same “Change” value for multiple hourly candles, the percentage change will be calculated using the Open and Close price of each hourly candle. If two or more hourly candles are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest hourly candle chronologically. Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered. If it becomes impossible for a given outcome to have the highest percentage change, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 3AM-4AM ET means the market gives it about 100%.