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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47% | +23 pts | +7 pts | 9¢ · 86¢ (77¢) | $40 | in 69d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if BIP-360 is implemented on the Bitcoin network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 47¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 47%.