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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84-86k | 100% | +47 pts | +86 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >86k | 0% | −21 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82-84k | 0% | −22 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-82k | 0% | −3 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78-80k | 0% | 0 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76-78k | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| <76k | 0% | −1 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 553d |  BrokenRobot | 84-86k | SellYes>99¢ | $2,866 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 553d | elPolloLoco | 80-82k | SellNo>99¢ | $2,324 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 553d | sherlockholmes11 | 82-84k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,011 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 553d | wokerjoesleeper | 84-86k | SellYes>99¢ | $7,514 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 553d | Andry09 | 84-86k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,070 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 553d |  Debosnys2 fills | 84-86k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,789 | +$55 +1.2% | 2 |
| 553d | Vinivi2 fills | 82-84k | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,682 | +$20 +0.3% | 2 |
| 553d | alex4127 | 84-86k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$14 +1.2% | 2 |
| 553d | Vinivi | 84-86k | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,718 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 553d | alex4127 | 78-80k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,142 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 553d |  Jd2026 | 84-86k | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,285 | −$274 −3.8% | — |
| 553d | no-fuistes-baneado4 fills | 82-84k | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $6,576 | +$1,207 +18% | 3 |
| 553d |  UwO2 fills | 84-86k | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,610 | +$187 +2.8% | 2 |
| 553d | no-fuistes-baneado48 fills | 84-86k | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $76,412 | +$26,869 +35% | 4 |
| 553d |  Lifessence6 fills | 82-84k | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $8,541 | +$2,229 +26% | 2 |
| 553d | wokerjoesleeper9 fills | 82-84k | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $13,102 | +$1,269 +9.7% | 3 |
| 553d | wokerjoesleeper13 fills | >86k | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,525 | +$79 +0.4% | 2 |
| 553d | wokerjoesleeper9 fills | 80-82k | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,057 | +$19 +0.2% | 2 |
| 553d | Threnaris | 80-82k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,860 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 553d | Lifessence4 fills | 84-86k | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $5,475 | +$2,344 +43% | 4 |
| 553d | JSK030 | 76-78k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,302 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 553d | no-fuistes-baneado26 fills | 84-86k | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $44,781 | −$21,064 −47% | — |
| 553d | whynot2025 | 84-86k | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | −$240 −14% | — |
| 553d | Malangk2 fills | 84-86k | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $3,917 | +$1,143 +29% | 4 |
| 553d | Raphael042 fills | 84-86k | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,965 | −$404 −14% | — |
| 553d | Raphael042 fills | 84-86k | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $3,985 | +$715 +18% | 2 |
| 553d |  citrusmylove8 fills | 82-84k | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $15,267 | +$3,164 +21% | 2 |
| 553d | CoinProphet | 80-82k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,670 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 553d | BrokenRobot | 84-86k | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,542 | +$314 +12% | 2 |
| 553d | AZwater | >86k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,573 | +$39 +1.5% | 2 |
| 553d | citrusmylove2 fills | 84-86k | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $5,151 | +$849 +16% | 3 |
| 553d | iamgone | 84-86k | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | −$351 −22% | — |
| 553d |  TheDandelion28 fills | 82-84k | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $44,775 | +$7,209 +16% | 2 |
| 553d | oVyg7f | 80-82k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,032 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 553d | wokerjoesleeper3 fills | 78-80k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,601 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 553d | AltVanguard | 78-80k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,450 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 553d | wokerjoesleeper | 76-78k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,047 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 553d | madrolly | 82-84k | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,025 | +$1,025 +100% | — |
| 553d | TheDandelion3 fills | 84-86k | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $3,398 | +$1,594 +47% | 4 |
| 553d |  JUN-z | 82-84k | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 5 |
| 553d | Deed082 fills | 84-86k | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $3,006 | +$1,218 +41% | 4 |
| 553d |  coinman2 | 82-84k | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 6 |
| 553d | citrusmylove12 fills | >86k | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $20,041 | +$9,118 +45% | 3 |
| 553d | coinman23 fills | 84-86k | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $4,263 | −$4,263 −100% | 7 |
| 553d | janonym | 84-86k | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | −$405 −37% | — |
| 553d | Alabjack2312 fills | 84-86k | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,519 | +$981 +39% | 4 |
| 553d | alex4127 | 78-80k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,140 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 553d | Whaaahhh8 fills | >86k | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $31,054 | −$2,029 −6.5% | — |
| 554d | Jd2026 | 84-86k | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $4,978 | +$1,902 +38% | 4 |
| 554d | Deed08 | >86k | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | −$247 −12% | — |
| 554d | 0xc567798456456749846847897 | 82-84k | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,390 | −$1,390 −100% | 6 |
| 554d | 0xc567798456456749846847897 | 84-86k | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $2,030 | +$1,000 +49% | 4 |
| 554d |  Justifax | 84-86k | SellNo36¢ → 0¢ | $3,249 | +$3,249 +100% | — |
| 554d | Deed08 | >86k | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$166 +16% | 3 |
| 554d | Monster24 | <76k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,380 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 554d | Justifax | 82-84k | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,487 | +$785 +32% | 4 |
| 554d | Justifax | 82-84k | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,794 | −$567 −32% | — |
| 554d | no-fuistes-baneado | >86k | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$300 +18% | 3 |
| 554d | TheDandelion4 fills | >86k | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $5,472 | +$1,288 +24% | 3 |
| 554d | lilypop | 80-82k | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | +$62 +3.1% | 2 |
Fartard100 sharesThis market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 18 Apr '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 84-86k means the market gives it about 100%.