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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78,000-80,000 | 100% | +76 pts | +75 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <66,000 | 0% | — | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000-68,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000-70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000-72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000-74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000-76,000 | 0% | −7 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000-78,000 | 0% | −68 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000-82,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000-84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180d | GeorgeIII | 78,000-80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $18,254 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | URAL17 | 78,000-80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $22,913 | −$23 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | Apt-Abbreviation | 78,000-80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,879 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | URAL172 fills | 78,000-80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,386 | +$189 +1.5% | 2 |
| 180d | Apt-Abbreviation | 78,000-80,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,207 | +$169 +5.3% | 2 |
| 180d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F3 fills | 76,000-78,000 | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $4,236 | −$4,236 −100% | 4 |
| 180d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F5 fills | 78,000-80,000 | BuyNo48¢ → 0¢ | $14,346 | −$14,346 −100% | 5 |
| 180d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | 78,000-80,000 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $10,162 | +$2,866 +28% | 4 |
| 180d | averagerandomman | 80,000-82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,798 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 180d | averagerandomman | 78,000-80,000 | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,873 | −$1,873 −100% | 5 |
| 180d |  Tttyh | 82,000-84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 180d | Tttyh | 72,000-74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,344 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | Tttyh | 72,000-74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,338 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 180d | RoadtoPorsche911 | >84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,098 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 180d | ftrxc64afn3 fills | 76,000-78,000 | SellYes42¢ → 0¢ | $3,162 | +$3,162 +100% | — |
| 180d | ftrxc64afn11 fills | 76,000-78,000 | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $10,914 | −$10,914 −100% | 7 |
| 180d | ftrxc64afn7 fills | 78,000-80,000 | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $7,718 | −$7,718 −100% | 6 |
| 180d | ftrxc64afn2 fills | 78,000-80,000 | SellNo43¢ → 0¢ | $2,104 | +$2,104 +100% | — |
| 180d | ftrxc64afn3 fills | 76,000-78,000 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $3,983 | +$2,531 +64% | 5 |
| 180d | ftrxc64afn2 fills | 78,000-80,000 | SellYes53¢ → 100¢ | $2,538 | −$2,242 −88% | — |
| 180d | ftrxc64afn3 fills | 78,000-80,000 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $3,632 | +$2,582 +71% | 5 |
| 180d | ftrxc64afn | 76,000-78,000 | SellNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | −$1,091 −79% | — |
| 180d | pablosss | 76,000-78,000 | SellYes42¢ → 0¢ | $2,585 | +$2,585 +100% | — |
| 180d | venezuelain | >84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 180d | jidong9808 | >84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 180d | xiaohao023 | >84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 180d | AlexHee | 72,000-74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,876 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 180d | shoulakuanti | 82,000-84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,015 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 180d | sergtrhyjuj | 82,000-84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,064 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 180d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | 76,000-78,000 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$808 +75% | 4 |
| 180d | duanyoude | 82,000-84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,018 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 180d | zhiliangwenti | 82,000-84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,019 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 180d | rtyrjuykuy | 82,000-84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,062 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 180d | rtyikugrtf | 82,000-84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,062 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 180d | 0xe617…f251 | 80,000-82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,998 | +$17 +0.8% | 2 |
| 180d | xiaohao023023 | 82,000-84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 180d | Funboyboy | 72,000-74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,010 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 181d | dafei888 | 70,000-72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,499 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | pingfan666 | 70,000-72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,999 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | Tttyh10 fills | >84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $82,352 | −$82 −0.1% | — |
| 181d | Tttyh10 fills | >84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $82,688 | +$83 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | buputong | 70,000-72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | AlexHee | 70,000-72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,559 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 181d | YautjaPM2 | 82,000-84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 181d |  dkdldbTlqqhwl | 82,000-84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,317 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 181d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | 74,000-76,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,407 | +$90 +6.4% | 2 |
| 181d | Tttyh | 68,000-70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,304 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 181d | ah0.1 | >84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,303 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | Chinspy | >84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,236 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | Tttyh | 68,000-70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,304 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | jidong9808 | 66,000-68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | niuniuhgir | 66,000-68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,318 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | miyugyiftu66 | 66,000-68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,309 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | 91vjeow | 68,000-70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,680 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | 90bgte | >84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,541 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | 89bgye2 fills | 82,000-84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,364 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 |
| 181d | 88ccf | >84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,483 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | Tttyh | 66,000-68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,233 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 181d | Tttyh | 66,000-68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,232 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | 87cwdr | >84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,582 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 78,000-80,000 means the market gives it about 100%.