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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >109k | 100% | +55 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <103k | 0% | −1 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 103–105k | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 105–107k | 0% | −6 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 107–109k | 0% | −44 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 471d | Lielisrael | >109k | SellYes>99¢ | $2,044 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 471d |  noreasapa | >109k | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 471d | DeltaMu | >109k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,874 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 471d | zagga | >109k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,754 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 471d | elPolloLoco | 107–109k | SellNo>99¢ | $3,599 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 471d | FoxCoin | >109k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,493 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 471d |  sportsgaza | >109k | SellYes>99¢ | $4,146 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 471d |  Oleg1993 | >109k | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 471d | JKBL | >109k | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 471d |  Harkell | <103k | SellNo>99¢ | $2,161 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 471d | nftgaswar | >109k | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,543 | −$36 −1.0% | — |
| 471d | rwo | 107–109k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,248 | +$93 +1.0% | 2 |
| 471d | rwo | >109k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,524 | +$25 +1.0% | 2 |
| 471d | noreasapa | >109k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,890 | +$110 +1.0% | 2 |
| 471d | noreasapa | 107–109k | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,670 | +$330 +3.1% | 2 |
| 471d |  50StackSteve3 fills | >109k | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $5,418 | +$1,190 +22% | 4 |
| 471d | precision3 fills | 107–109k | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $5,442 | +$1,558 +29% | 2 |
| 471d | precision9 fills | >109k | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $16,483 | +$12,193 +74% | 3 |
| 471d | NouvelleVision5 fills | >109k | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $9,658 | +$6,709 +69% | 5 |
| 471d | runrunrunitup | >109k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$222 +11% | 3 |
| 471d | CheeseCutter | >109k | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,337 | +$289 +12% | 3 |
| 471d | Waterfall4123 fills | >109k | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $17,959 | +$4,861 +27% | 4 |
| 471d | JJDAEGU | >109k | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,193 | −$786 −25% | — |
| 471d | Besiege24 fills | 107–109k | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $35,480 | +$35,218 +99% | 3 |
| 471d | Besiege15 fills | >109k | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $51,296 | +$42,187 +82% | 5 |
| 471d |  manwithahat3 fills | 107–109k | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $4,156 | +$1,196 +29% | 2 |
| 471d | Besiege11 fills | >109k | SellYes44¢ → 100¢ | $26,237 | −$34,034 −130% | — |
| 471d | iamgone23 fills | >109k | SellYes49¢ → 100¢ | $48,685 | −$50,354 −103% | — |
| 471d | manwithahat | >109k | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,026 | −$1,026 −100% | 5 |
| 471d | Besiege18 fills | 107–109k | SellNo52¢ → 100¢ | $28,489 | −$26,123 −92% | — |
| 471d | Trompet112 fills | >109k | SellYes53¢ → 100¢ | $3,953 | −$3,508 −89% | — |
| 471d | Waterfall412 | 107–109k | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $3,514 | +$1,892 +54% | 5 |
| 471d | Besiege23 fills | 107–109k | SellYes64¢ → 0¢ | $37,183 | +$37,183 +100% | — |
| 471d | NouvelleVision9 fills | 107–109k | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $20,299 | −$20,299 −100% | 3 |
| 471d | NouvelleVision9 fills | >109k | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $20,462 | −$20,462 −100% | 4 |
| 471d | iamgone2 fills | 107–109k | BuyNo38¢ → 100¢ | $5,361 | +$8,722 +163% | 6 |
| 471d | Besiege9 fills | >109k | SellNo76¢ → 0¢ | $37,160 | +$37,160 +100% | — |
| 471d | iamgone2 fills | >109k | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $8,364 | +$21,412 +256% | 13 |
| 471d | brr694208 fills | 107–109k | BuyNo40¢ → 100¢ | $14,420 | +$21,979 +152% | 8 |
| 471d | Besiege12 fills | >109k | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $44,672 | −$44,672 −100% | 4 |
| 471d | brr694206 fills | >109k | BuyYes34¢ → 100¢ | $8,703 | +$16,974 +195% | 9 |
| 471d | brr694208 fills | >109k | SellYes36¢ → 100¢ | $11,280 | −$20,398 −181% | — |
| 471d | Trompet112 fills | >109k | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $3,212 | +$4,386 +137% | 6 |
| 471d | rwo | 105–107k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,760 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 471d | Waterfall4122 fills | 107–109k | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $12,172 | −$12,172 −100% | 4 |
| 471d | Besiege22 fills | 107–109k | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $37,708 | −$37,708 −100% | 4 |
| 471d | brr694204 fills | 107–109k | SellNo37¢ → 100¢ | $6,428 | −$11,079 −172% | — |
| 471d | NouvelleVision3 fills | 107–109k | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $5,886 | +$5,528 +94% | 5 |
| 471d | precision2 fills | >109k | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $3,040 | −$2,097 −69% | — |
| 471d | 50StackSteve | >109k | SellYes58¢ → 100¢ | $3,170 | −$2,311 −73% | — |
| 471d | manwithahat9 fills | >109k | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $13,903 | +$14,712 +106% | 3 |
| 471d | Shehzu | 107–109k | SellYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | +$1,125 +100% | — |
| 471d | Waterfall4129 fills | >109k | SellYes48¢ → 100¢ | $15,895 | −$17,496 −110% | — |
| 471d | precision | >109k | SellNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,944 | +$1,944 +100% | — |
| 471d | precision2 fills | 107–109k | SellNo54¢ → 100¢ | $3,240 | −$2,760 −85% | — |
| 471d | manwithahat2 fills | 107–109k | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $3,576 | −$3,576 −100% | 5 |
| 471d | brr694205 fills | >109k | SellNo74¢ → 0¢ | $17,729 | +$17,729 +100% | — |
| 471d | brr694207 fills | 107–109k | SellYes80¢ → 0¢ | $18,177 | +$18,177 +100% | — |
| 471d | brr694206 fills | 107–109k | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $9,461 | −$9,461 −100% | 4 |
| 471d | brr694209 fills | >109k | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $21,244 | −$21,244 −100% | 2 |
aMiMP153 sharesThis market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >109k means the market gives it about 100%.