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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104-106k | 100% | +86 pts | +84 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <100k | 0% | −1 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-102k | 0% | −1 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 102-104k | 0% | −2 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >106k | 0% | −83 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 497d | TheSpider | 104-106k | SellYes>99¢ | $3,363 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 497d | OmskBird | >106k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,261 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 497d | rwo | <100k | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 497d | negar | 104-106k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,418 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 497d | Bobbythechef | 104-106k | SellYes>99¢ | $2,194 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 497d |  tsys88888 | 104-106k | SellYes>99¢ | $2,101 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 497d | vicpips | 104-106k | SellYes>99¢ | $3,348 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 497d |  Crazydave1 | 104-106k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,033 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 497d | tomato9 | 104-106k | SellYes>99¢ | $3,189 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 497d | Sharky6999 | >106k | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,175 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 497d | Sharky6999 | 104-106k | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,659 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 497d |  323b13 fills | >106k | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $37,338 | +$5,070 +14% | 2 |
| 497d | Robbln | >106k | SellNo>99¢ | $2,498 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 497d | AIHOZA | >106k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,948 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 497d | Valrus | 104-106k | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,533 | −$26 −1.0% | — |
| 497d | Thin-Print2 fills | >106k | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,133 | +$536 +10% | 3 |
| 497d |  Harkell | 100-102k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,050 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 497d | p22ssp20 fills | >106k | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $54,296 | −$7,917 −15% | — |
| 497d | tsys88888 | 104-106k | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,041 | +$62 +3.0% | 2 |
| 497d |  cowardly | 104-106k | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 2 |
| 497d | Rin2x | 104-106k | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 2 |
| 497d | negar | 104-106k | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | +$57 +4.2% | 2 |
| 497d | p22ssp15 fills | >106k | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $58,054 | +$9,663 +17% | 3 |
| 497d | FlowMo | 104-106k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$226 +11% | 3 |
| 497d | AZwater | >106k | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,859 | +$141 +7.6% | 3 |
| 497d |  SF888-166 | 104-106k | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$200 +11% | 3 |
| 497d | Poundland | 104-106k | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$250 +25% | 4 |
| 497d | elPolloLoco | <100k | SellNo>99¢ | $7,998 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 497d | vicpips | >106k | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 5 |
| 497d | Valrus | 104-106k | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,235 | +$323 +14% | 3 |
| 497d | rwo | <100k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,262 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 497d | santian556 | 104-106k | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | −$105 −9.8% | — |
| 497d |  HaileyWelch4 fills | 104-106k | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $10,647 | −$10,647 −100% | 3 |
| 497d | t0n3 | <100k | BuyNo100¢ | $3,081 | +$15 +0.5% | 2 |
| 497d | 323b9 fills | 102-104k | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $14,540 | +$4,539 +31% | 4 |
| 497d |  vrooo0m | 102-104k | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | +$258 +21% | 3 |
| 497d |  Dr.EmmetBrown | 104-106k | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,585 | +$557 +35% | 4 |
| 497d |  50StackSteve | 104-106k | SellNo31¢ → 0¢ | $1,882 | +$1,882 +100% | — |
| 497d | AZwater4 fills | <100k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $42,560 | +$485 +1.1% | 2 |
| 497d | notgrim | <100k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,433 | +$14 +1.0% | 2 |
| 497d | 3.141592653592 fills | 104-106k | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $5,871 | +$11,047 +188% | 8 |
| 497d | eric777 | 104-106k | SellYes63¢ → 100¢ | $4,498 | −$2,642 −59% | — |
| 497d | BoreasArb | 104-106k | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $2,174 | −$2,174 −100% | 6 |
| 497d | HaileyWelch | 104-106k | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,449 | +$1,501 +61% | 5 |
| 497d | AZwater2 fills | 100-102k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,505 | +$79 +1.7% | 2 |
| 497d | eric7772 fills | 104-106k | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $4,383 | +$2,711 +62% | 5 |
| 497d | 50StackSteve2 fills | 102-104k | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,035 | +$765 +25% | 3 |
| 497d | BoreasArb | 104-106k | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $2,461 | +$1,554 +63% | 5 |
| 497d | HaileyWelch4 fills | >106k | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $6,426 | +$5,164 +80% | 3 |
| 497d | 50StackSteve | 104-106k | SellYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,931 | −$1,399 −72% | — |
| 497d | momona | >106k | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,332 | −$629 −27% | — |
| 497d | 50StackSteve | 104-106k | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,436 | +$1,498 +61% | 5 |
| 497d | tsys888883 fills | <100k | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $8,805 | −$1,252 −14% | — |
| 497d | vrooo0m | 104-106k | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$727 +69% | 5 |
| 497d | momona | >106k | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,497 | +$342 +14% | 3 |
| 497d | Resilience3 fills | 100-102k | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $5,824 | −$858 −15% | — |
| 497d | 3.14159265359 | >106k | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 497d | PTR-7802 fills | <100k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,998 | +$105 +1.1% | 2 |
| 497d | Resilience | 100-102k | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,904 | +$96 +5.0% | 2 |
| 497d | Resilience4 fills | >106k | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $12,387 | −$2,998 −24% | — |
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 13 June '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 104-106k means the market gives it about 100%.