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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68,000-70,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <56,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000-58,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 58,000-60,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60,000-62,000 | 0% | +2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 62,000-64,000 | 0% | +4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 64,000-66,000 | 0% | +6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000-68,000 | 0% | +3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000-72,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000-74,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >74,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 233d | Glistening-BelligerencyNew account | 68,000-70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,125 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 233d | deellama | 68,000-70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,826 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 233d | Sharky6999 | 68,000-70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,356 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 233d | 68,000-70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,158 | +$33 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 233d | 68,000-70,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,463 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 233d | capsaicin2M | 68,000-70,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | +$24 +1.7% | 2 |
| 233d | Yuki7 | 68,000-70,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,614 | +$28 +1.7% | 2 |
| 233d | Rundown-Regard | 66,000-68,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$115 +7.8% | 2 |
| 233d | DVaMeka76 | 68,000-70,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,583 | +$73 +4.6% | 2 |
| 233d | Glistening-BelligerencyNew account | 68,000-70,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | +$25 +2.2% | 2 |
| 233d | averagerandomman3 fills | 68,000-70,000 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $8,804 | +$3,565 +40% | 4 |
| 233d | deellama | 68,000-70,000 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,603 | +$225 +14% | 3 |
| 233d | 0x2a6c…07bc | 66,000-68,000 | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 5 |
| 233d | 0x2a6c…07bc | 68,000-70,000 | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $3,278 | −$2,278 −69% | — |
| 233d | WizardOfAzza2026 | 66,000-68,000 | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,346 | +$1,346 +100% | — |
| 233d | averagerandomman | 66,000-68,000 | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,637 | −$1,637 −100% | 5 |
| 233d | WizardOfAzza2026 | 66,000-68,000 | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 5 |
| 233d | yp990406 | <56,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,061 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | 0x2a6c…07bc | 66,000-68,000 | SellYes62¢ → 0¢ | $3,972 | +$3,972 +100% | — |
| 234d | IH2P19 fills | 68,000-70,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $21,483 | +$1,213 +5.6% | 2 |
| 234d | IH2P4 fills | 66,000-68,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,809 | +$180 +3.1% | 2 |
| 234d | Attentive-SilicaNew account | 66,000-68,000 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $7,337 | +$4,663 +64% | 7 |
| 234d | Attentive-SilicaNew account | 70,000-72,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,035 | +$146 +4.8% | 3 |
| 234d | averagerandomman | 70,000-72,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,425 | +$75 +3.1% | 2 |
| 234d | dolphintour | 66,000-68,000 | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | −$532 −36% | — |
| 234d | Attentive-SilicaNew account | 68,000-70,000 | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $2,788 | +$2,609 +94% | 6 |
| 234d | 70,000-72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,963 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 234d | 60,000-62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,985 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 234d | 60,000-62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 234d | 1337zzz13373 fills | 66,000-68,000 | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $4,804 | +$4,804 +100% | — |
| 234d | 1337zzz13373 fills | 66,000-68,000 | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $5,050 | −$5,050 −100% | 4 |
| 234d | Attentive-SilicaNew account | 66,000-68,000 | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,698 | −$1,698 −100% | 7 |
| 234d | 60,000-62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,800 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 234d | chefwiz2 fills | <56,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,741 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | pedrosanchez69 | 58,000-60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,131 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 234d | YautjaPM2 | >74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,813 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 234d | vip68 | 72,000-74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,196 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 234d | Candela | 72,000-74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,144 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 234d | vip682 fills | 72,000-74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,964 | +$36 +0.5% | 2 |
| 234d | amused85 | 66,000-68,000 | BuyNo42¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | +$2,323 +139% | 5 |
| 234d | chefwiz | 58,000-60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,712 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 234d | dolphintour | 66,000-68,000 | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $4,247 | +$5,406 +127% | 6 |
| 234d | 58,000-60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 234d | Delirious-Beancurd | 66,000-68,000 | BuyNo42¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$1,624 +138% | 5 |
| 234d | jjjjjsda | <56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,468 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 234d | medishai | <56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,812 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 234d | JuliaHamper332 | 72,000-74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,726 | +$74 +0.7% | 2 |
| 234d | wuxingqi | >74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,403 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 234d | udontknowanything2 fills | <56,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,172 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | jakma | <56,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,167 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | 58,000-60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,059 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 234d | 72,000-74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,758 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 234d | Attentive-SilicaNew account | 64,000-66,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,244 | +$480 +21% | 4 |
| 234d | Grounded-MaizeNew account | <56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 234d | chefwiz2 fills | <56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,559 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 234d | dfyhtyjfdhtyuo | <56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 234d | TheSpider | 66,000-68,000 | SellYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,487 | +$1,487 +100% | — |
| 234d | imjustkim | >74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 234d | Mrakobess | 68,000-70,000 | SellNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,233 | +$1,233 +100% | — |
| 234d | Hannma | 66,000-68,000 | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,676 | +$1,676 +100% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 68,000-70,000 means the market gives it about 100%.