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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196d | canony | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | SellUp>99¢ | $21,379 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | david.eth | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,164 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | canony | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $6,898 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 196d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,447 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 196d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,909 | +$80 +4.2% | 2 |
| 196d | david.eth | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$122 +12% | 3 |
| 196d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $3,687 | +$652 +18% | 3 |
| 196d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | SellUp84¢ → 100¢ | $3,512 | −$669 −19% | — | |
| 196d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $3,425 | +$705 +21% | 3 | |
| 196d | Jsjssjsk | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | BuyDown32¢ → 0¢ | $3,647 | −$3,647 −100% | 9 |
| 196d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | BuyDown32¢ → 0¢ | $2,618 | −$2,618 −100% | 7 |
| 196d | hbqasbanana022 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $6,852 | +$1,176 +17% | 3 |
| 196d | easypredict | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | BuyDown17¢ → 0¢ | $1,217 | −$1,217 −100% | 6 |
| 196d | Musty-Clay | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $1,947 | +$435 +22% | 4 |
| 196d | easypredict5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | BuyUp56¢ → 100¢ | $9,855 | +$7,811 +79% | 4 |
| 196d | david.eth | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | SellDown28¢ → 0¢ | $1,171 | +$1,171 +100% | — |
| 197d | tonio99 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | SellUp58¢ → 100¢ | $5,597 | −$4,042 −72% | — |
| 197d | tonio99 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $4,629 | +$4,650 +100% | 3 |
| 197d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | BuyDown58¢ → 0¢ | $1,886 | −$1,886 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.