Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −68 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,254 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 195d | Musty-Clay | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $3,103 | −$44 −1.4% | — |
| 195d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,341 | +$27 +2.0% | 2 |
| 195d | 0xe617…f2512 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $4,968 | +$234 +4.7% | 2 |
| 195d | Musty-Clay | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $2,978 | +$157 +5.3% | 2 |
| 195d | 0x77c7…931f | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12? | BuyUp8¢ → 0¢ | $895 | −$895 −100% | 4 |
| 195d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12? | BuyDown67¢ → 100¢ | $9,543 | +$4,781 +50% | 4 |
| 195d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12? | BuyUp72¢ → 0¢ | $1,374 | −$1,374 −100% | 4 |
| 195d | easypredict4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $10,043 | −$10,043 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.