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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 193d | dumbledog | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,063 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13? | BuyUp>99¢ | $6,561 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 193d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,998 | +$15 +0.5% | 2 |
| 193d | Quirky-Selection | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13? | SellUp100¢ | $1,088 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 193d | gobblewobble3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $5,744 | +$224 +3.9% | 2 |
| 193d | 0x5107…2870 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$944 +91% | 4 |
| 194d |  quantam | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $931 | +$894 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.