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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 191d | Musty-Clay | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15? | SellDown>99¢ | $4,320 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 191d | operatione | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $11,507 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 191d | Jfjfjfjffjdjd | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,296 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 191d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $8,752 | +$26 +0.3% | 2 |
| 191d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,995 | +$38 +0.8% | 2 |
| 191d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $1,674 | +$90 +5.4% | 2 |
| 191d | easypredict5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15? | BuyDown92¢ → 100¢ | $8,921 | +$793 +8.9% | 3 |
| 191d | shiyifacai | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $1,774 | +$197 +11% | 3 |
| 191d | Musty-Clay | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15? | BuyDown92¢ → 100¢ | $3,954 | +$346 +8.7% | 3 |
| 191d | Easy-Going-Homework | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15? | BuyUp8¢ → 0¢ | $875 | −$875 −100% | 4 |
| 191d | a4385 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15? | BuyDown86¢ → 100¢ | $2,528 | +$412 +16% | 3 |
| 192d | dumbledog | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15? | BuyDown82¢ → 100¢ | $5,368 | +$1,178 +22% | 3 |
| 192d | easypredict | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,373 | −$1,373 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.