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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 190d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $6,834 | +$1,144 +17% | 3 |
| 190d | 0xe617…f2512 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $9,980 | +$140 +1.4% | 2 |
| 190d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | +$18 +1.5% | 2 |
| 190d | Musty-Clay2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $3,473 | +$581 +17% | 3 |
| 190d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $3,170 | +$653 +21% | 3 |
| 190d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $1,186 | −$1,186 −100% | 5 |
| 190d | Dual-Dictaphone | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16? | BuyDown43¢ → 0¢ | $1,613 | −$1,613 −100% | 5 |
| 190d | Dual-Dictaphone | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16? | SellUp85¢ → 100¢ | $1,778 | −$305 −17% | — |
| 190d | elysiian | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $2,279 | +$120 +5.3% | 2 |
| 190d | Dual-Dictaphone | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,704 | +$90 +5.3% | 2 |
| 190d |  ComingBack2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $4,551 | +$454 +10.0% | 3 |
| 191d | a4385 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $2,145 | +$447 +21% | 3 |
MayorDoge891 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.