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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 189d | liceOfNice | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,521 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 189d | dumbledog | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,266 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 189d | nghiapham | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,879 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 189d | bitmapa | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,499 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 189d | elysiian | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | BuyUp100¢ | $9,055 | +$46 +0.5% | 2 |
| 189d | jhz11222 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $2,872 | +$1,258 +44% | 4 |
| 189d | liceOfNice | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,496 | +$25 +1.0% | 2 |
| 189d | 0xe617…f2512 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $19,969 | +$215 +1.1% | 2 |
| 189d | dumbledog | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $4,081 | +$185 +4.5% | 2 |
| 189d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | BuyUp74¢ → 100¢ | $2,478 | +$870 +35% | 4 |
| 189d | easyclap5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | BuyDown47¢ → 0¢ | $16,335 | −$16,335 −100% | 5 |
| 189d | gobblewobble6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $9,504 | +$1,694 +18% | 3 |
| 189d | easyclap4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $21,369 | +$3,587 +17% | 3 |
| 189d | 0x5107…2870 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | +$1,399 +101% | 4 |
| 190d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | BuyDown63¢ → 0¢ | $4,628 | −$4,628 −100% | 4 |
| 190d | gobblewobble3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | BuyDown56¢ → 0¢ | $3,149 | −$3,149 −100% | 4 |
| 190d |  Monkboy | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $974 | +$974 +100% | 4 |
Fartard1,200 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.