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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185d | Musty-Clay | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21? | SellUp>99¢ | $5,367 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | 0xef44…5483 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21? | SellUp>99¢ | $5,203 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | anon.1980.123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,358 | +$34 +1.0% | 2 |
| 185d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F11 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $17,709 | +$4,960 +28% | 3 |
| 185d | Musty-Clay | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $1,947 | +$437 +22% | 4 |
| 185d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21? | BuyUp68¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | +$611 +47% | 5 |
| 185d | david.eth | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21? | BuyDown43¢ → 0¢ | $997 | −$997 −100% | 5 |
| 185d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,886 | +$99 +5.3% | 2 |
| 185d | 0xef44…5483 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $4,312 | +$834 +19% | 3 |
| 185d |  quantam2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21? | SellUp68¢ → 100¢ | $2,165 | −$1,039 −48% | — |
| 185d | Brilliant-Chaos | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$416 +37% | 4 |
| 186d |  Monkboy | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21? | BuyDown47¢ → 0¢ | $1,389 | −$1,389 −100% | 4 |
| 186d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $2,176 | −$2,176 −100% | 4 |
| 186d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $928 | −$928 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.