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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22? | SellUp>99¢ | $10,701 | −$11 −0.1% | — | |
| 184d | Jfjfjfjffjdjd | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 184d | jhz11228 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $60,293 | +$7,219 +12% | 3 |
| 184d | Knowledgeable-Stem | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,444 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $6,113 | +$63 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,358 | +$14 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 184d | Incognitoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $6,706 | +$122 +1.8% | 2 |
| 184d | anon.1980.123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$44 +3.5% | 2 |
| 184d | hbqasbanana02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $2,983 | +$124 +4.2% | 2 |
| 184d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $2,874 | +$201 +7.0% | 2 |
| 184d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $13,302 | +$1,521 +11% | 3 |
| 185d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $2,995 | +$619 +21% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.