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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180d | 0xd714…eaae | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,644 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | edseah | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26? | BuyUp>99¢ | $6,535 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 180d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,564 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 180d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,168 | +$22 +1.0% | 2 |
| 180d | 0xd714…eaae | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $2,513 | +$125 +5.0% | 2 |
| 180d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $4,064 | +$983 +24% | 3 |
| 180d | anon.1980.123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $4,051 | +$259 +6.4% | 3 |
| 180d | ftrxc64afn2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $3,649 | +$253 +6.9% | 3 |
| 180d | xiaoheibull | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $989 | +$135 +14% | 3 |
| 181d | gobblewobble3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $5,078 | +$804 +16% | 3 |
| 181d | 9da3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26? | SellDown48¢ → 0¢ | $1,059 | +$1,059 +100% | — |
| 181d | 9da3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26? | BuyDown44¢ → 0¢ | $1,838 | −$1,838 −100% | 5 |
| 181d | easyclap | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,488 | −$2,488 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.