Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 176d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,999 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 176d | jhz11223 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $18,235 | +$5,436 +30% | 4 |
| 176d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,298 | +$22 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 176d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 176d | 0x21f240183c0b136cb6fd971929 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,406 | +$14 +1.0% | 2 |
| 176d | gobblewobble7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $7,674 | +$754 +9.8% | 3 |
| 176d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $1,408 | +$397 +28% | 4 | |
| 176d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $7,592 | +$3,047 +40% | 4 |
| 176d | 9da3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30? | BuyDown40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 5 |
| 177d | Glum-Gauntlet | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30? | SellDown59¢ → 0¢ | $1,181 | +$1,181 +100% | — |
| 177d | Glum-Gauntlet | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.