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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4? | SellUp>99¢ | $17,599 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 202d | Dimpled-Croissant | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 202d | tomeek | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 202d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $33,642 | +$5,598 +17% | 3 |
| 202d | sheijiangcc | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,422 | +$24 +1.0% | 2 |
| 202d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,699 | +$37 +1.0% | 2 |
| 202d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $12,653 | +$395 +3.1% | 2 |
| 202d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$32 +3.2% | 2 | |
| 202d | Musty-Clay | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $4,980 | +$811 +16% | 4 |
| 202d | Elowinarves2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4? | BuyDown19¢ → 0¢ | $2,522 | −$2,522 −100% | 10 |
| 202d | dengdengdang | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4? | SellUp83¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | −$251 −20% | — |
| 202d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4? | BuyUp69¢ → 100¢ | $6,848 | +$3,016 +44% | 5 | |
| 203d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4? | BuyDown45¢ → 0¢ | $4,443 | −$4,443 −100% | 5 | |
| 203d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $7,885 | +$7,640 +97% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.