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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201d | cobaltharborfmz | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,808 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 201d | foux | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,401 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 201d | Marioy | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $9,953 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 201d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,072 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 201d |  ProudIsraeli | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $13,680 | +$26 +0.2% | 2 |
| 201d | Sharky6999 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $8,687 | +$163 +1.9% | 2 |
| 201d | addyfizzle102 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $9,313 | +$461 +4.9% | 2 |
| 201d | Marioy | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $9,411 | +$514 +5.5% | 2 |
| 201d |  DimSumBoiiii | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | SellDown27¢ → 100¢ | $2,316 | −$6,115 −264% | — |
| 201d | Incognitoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | SellDown20¢ → 100¢ | $4,190 | −$16,881 −403% | — |
| 201d | wenle1108 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | SellUp65¢ → 0¢ | $2,154 | +$2,154 +100% | — |
| 201d | IH2P2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | BuyUp77¢ → 0¢ | $3,246 | −$3,246 −100% | 4 |
| 201d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | BuyUp79¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | −$1,110 −100% | 4 |
| 201d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | BuyDown51¢ → 100¢ | $4,007 | +$3,804 +95% | 5 |
| 201d | jxckkk | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | SellDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | −$32 −2.9% | — |
| 201d | Niseko | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,962 | −$38 −1.9% | — |
| 201d | foux | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$31 +3.1% | 2 |
| 201d | ace | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | SellDown92¢ → 100¢ | $1,751 | −$158 −9.0% | — |
| 201d | Incognitoo7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | BuyDown92¢ → 100¢ | $11,530 | +$981 +8.5% | 3 |
| 201d | easyclap | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | BuyUp18¢ → 0¢ | $1,341 | −$1,341 −100% | 6 |
| 202d | wenle1108 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | BuyUp49¢ → 0¢ | $1,473 | −$1,473 −100% | 4 |
| 202d | Flaky-Bidding | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,509 | −$1,509 −100% | 4 |
BreezyDuck354,648 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.