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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200d | AZwater | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,041 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 200d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,496 | +$25 +0.7% | 2 |
| 200d | ded33 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | −$24 −1.6% | — |
| 200d | easyclap3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $13,440 | +$3,649 +27% | 3 |
| 200d | bhkMarvin | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$78 +7.5% | 2 |
| 200d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$99 +8.7% | 3 |
| 200d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $1,916 | +$243 +13% | 3 | |
| 200d | Marioy | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $4,380 | +$541 +12% | 3 |
| 201d | cobaltharborfmz | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6? | BuyUp62¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | +$705 +61% | 4 |
| 201d | ace | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $928 | +$928 +100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.