Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 198d | ginie | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | BuyUp>99¢ | $13,385 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 198d |  berboche | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,046 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 198d | jhz11228 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $39,185 | +$222 +0.6% | 2 |
| 198d | deranged | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,807 | +$29 +0.6% | 2 |
| 198d | 0xe617…f2513 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $9,981 | +$130 +1.3% | 2 |
| 198d |  poorersob3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $9,931 | +$60 +0.6% | 2 |
| 198d | Rin2x | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,968 | +$28 +0.7% | 2 |
| 198d |  MarukoDiru | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 198d | MarukoDiru | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,803 | +$12 +0.7% | 2 |
| 198d |  soylentgoy | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,581 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 198d | Solmaxi8888.sol | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 198d | kederrac | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,054 | −$16 −0.8% | — |
| 198d | deyi9624512 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,359 | +$46 +1.4% | 2 |
| 198d | Marioy | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | +$37 +2.1% | 2 |
| 198d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $11,748 | +$521 +4.4% | 2 |
| 198d | kederrac | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,989 | +$76 +3.8% | 2 |
| 199d | tonio99 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | SellUp76¢ → 100¢ | $4,407 | −$1,392 −32% | — |
| 199d | tonio99 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8? | BuyUp54¢ → 100¢ | $4,026 | +$3,443 +86% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.