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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83d | Fitting-BirdbathNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,033 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 83d | Cavernous-Agriculture | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyUp100¢ | $1,410 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 83d | xin22wen7594 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $8,181 | +$49 +0.6% | 2 |
| 83d | ny23apin7543 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $5,965 | +$36 +0.6% | 2 |
| 83d | gobblewobble4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $7,461 | +$1,200 +16% | 3 |
| 83d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$131 +5.3% | 3 |
| 83d | madkkee4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | SellUp83¢ → 100¢ | $12,668 | −$2,632 −21% | — |
| 83d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $12,685 | +$2,847 +22% | 3 |
| 83d | Mediocre-Consumption-PromiseNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown29¢ → 0¢ | $1,877 | −$1,877 −100% | 10 |
| 83d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown24¢ → 0¢ | $1,228 | −$1,228 −100% | 5 |
| 84d |  coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown27¢ → 0¢ | $2,248 | −$2,248 −100% | 8 |
| 84d | madkkee | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$441 +37% | 4 |
| 84d | Vague-Mass5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $11,458 | +$6,127 +53% | 4 |
| 84d | coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $6,500 | +$3,500 +54% | 4 |
| 84d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
18023,546 sharestrulyalya13,092 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.