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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,938 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 73d | Cavernous-Agriculture | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,804 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 73d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,080 | −$53 −1.3% | — |
| 73d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$133 +3.3% | 2 |
| 73d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyDown67¢ → 100¢ | $5,932 | +$2,906 +49% | 5 |
| 73d | 0x87b5…0fce | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | SellUp21¢ → 0¢ | $1,396 | +$1,396 +100% | — |
| 73d | strengthinnumbers2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyDown65¢ → 100¢ | $3,097 | +$1,656 +53% | 5 |
| 73d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | SellDown33¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | −$2,246 −203% | — | |
| 73d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp65¢ → 0¢ | $5,871 | −$5,871 −100% | 5 |
| 73d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp60¢ → 0¢ | $9,101 | −$9,101 −100% | 5 |
| 73d | Zzzz87 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyDown68¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | +$567 +47% | 4 |
| 74d | Vague-Mass2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyUp56¢ → 0¢ | $11,930 | −$11,930 −100% | 4 |
| 74d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? | BuyDown51¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,441 +96% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.