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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 70d | Cavernous-Agriculture | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 70d | ng1qiqi7493 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $5,964 | +$36 +0.6% | 2 |
| 70d | xin22wen7593 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $5,958 | +$42 +0.7% | 2 |
| 70d | anon.1980.123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$21 +1.1% | 2 |
| 70d |  Albedo00 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $6,434 | +$86 +1.3% | 2 |
| 70d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | BuyDown85¢ → 100¢ | $1,709 | +$302 +18% | 3 |
| 70d |  Mahakaal468 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | SellDown80¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$300 −25% | — |
| 70d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | BuyDown68¢ → 100¢ | $8,184 | +$3,792 +46% | 4 |
| 70d | Grateful-Graphic | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | SellUp49¢ → 0¢ | $2,419 | +$2,419 +100% | — |
| 70d | Grateful-Graphic | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $1,340 | −$1,340 −100% | 4 |
| 70d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | BuyUp41¢ → 0¢ | $1,356 | −$1,356 −100% | 5 |
| 70d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | SellUp40¢ → 0¢ | $3,855 | +$3,855 +100% | — |
| 70d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | BuyUp42¢ → 0¢ | $6,300 | −$6,300 −100% | 7 |
| 70d | T-03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | SellDown62¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | −$802 −61% | — |
| 70d | Vague-Mass2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? | BuyUp37¢ → 0¢ | $6,939 | −$6,939 −100% | 9 |
crixuswu1,042 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.