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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,832 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 67d |  ZeinST | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,292 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 67d | SkyLove7 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,039 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 67d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $5,561 | +$645 +12% | 3 |
| 67d | IH2P | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $1,890 | +$187 +9.9% | 3 |
| 67d | anon.1980.1232 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $3,766 | +$466 +12% | 3 |
| 67d | kingofcoinflips10 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $30,983 | +$27,563 +89% | 4 |
| 67d | NeoTigerX | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? | SellUp70¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | −$600 −43% | — |
| 68d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? | SellUp38¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | −$1,723 −163% | — |
| 68d | kingofcoinflips8 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $27,389 | −$27,389 −100% | 4 |
| 68d | Vague-Mass3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? | BuyUp36¢ → 100¢ | $5,851 | +$10,597 +181% | 9 |
| 68d | Zzzz87 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? | BuyUp32¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | +$2,356 +211% | 4 |
| 68d | Vague-Mass2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? | BuyDown40¢ → 0¢ | $6,546 | −$6,546 −100% | 8 |
| 68d | trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,335 +89% | 4 |
| 68d | NeoTigerX | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$960 +92% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.