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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,469 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 65d | Educated-Shoat | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,520 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 65d | TangS4189 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$11 +1.1% | 2 |
| 65d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? | BuyUp55¢ → 100¢ | $12,807 | +$10,567 +83% | 5 |
| 65d | Goldismoney | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? | SellUp57¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | −$759 −76% | — |
| 65d | Zzzz87 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? | BuyDown74¢ → 0¢ | $1,565 | −$1,565 −100% | 4 |
| 65d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? | BuyDown82¢ → 0¢ | $3,411 | −$3,411 −100% | 4 |
| 65d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? | BuyDown78¢ → 0¢ | $3,040 | −$3,040 −100% | 3 |
| 65d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? | BuyUp47¢ → 100¢ | $9,357 | +$10,643 +114% | 5 |
| 65d | kingofcoinflips8 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? | BuyDown58¢ → 0¢ | $32,720 | −$32,720 −100% | 4 |
| 65d | kingofcoinflips6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? | BuyUp45¢ → 100¢ | $15,600 | +$19,400 +124% | 7 |
| 65d | Vague-Mass3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $10,700 | −$10,700 −100% | 4 |
Prot07ype1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.