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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? | BuyUp58¢ → 100¢ | $9,413 | +$6,734 +72% | 4 |
| 63d | ggdajiba | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $5,619 | −$34 −0.6% | — |
| 63d | vvyvv | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,777 | −$23 −0.6% | — |
| 63d | Educated-Shoat6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $48,977 | +$356 +0.7% | 2 |
| 63d | Noteagle | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 63d | jhz11222 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $11,382 | +$107 +0.9% | 2 |
| 63d |  Albedo002 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $5,036 | +$130 +2.6% | 2 |
| 63d | ggdajiba | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $6,570 | +$134 +2.0% | 2 |
| 63d | ssxji | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $2,349 | +$48 +2.0% | 2 |
| 63d | Noteagle | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | +$36 +1.8% | 2 |
| 63d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,477 | −$23 −1.5% | — |
| 63d | 0x53f7…580d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,356 | −$42 −3.1% | — |
| 63d | gobblewobble6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? | BuyUp57¢ → 100¢ | $6,603 | +$4,974 +75% | 4 |
| 63d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? | BuyDown28¢ → 0¢ | $1,024 | −$1,024 −100% | 4 |
| 63d | vvyvv | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $1,639 | +$654 +40% | 4 |
| 63d | Vague-Mass3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $9,248 | −$9,248 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.