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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61d | Fitting-Birdbath | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,075 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $5,219 | +$28 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 61d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyDown73¢ → 100¢ | $8,187 | +$3,074 +38% | 4 |
| 62d | Tonzie | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | SellDown62¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | −$826 −61% | — |
| 62d | suntori | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | SellDown52¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | −$942 −92% | — |
| 62d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyUp46¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 4 |
| 62d | hakhdn | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | SellDown50¢ → 100¢ | $3,457 | −$3,453 −100% | — |
| 62d | gekuro | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | SellDown59¢ → 100¢ | $3,297 | −$2,291 −69% | — |
| 62d | hakhdn | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyDown18¢ → 100¢ | $1,361 | +$6,200 +456% | 6 |
| 62d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | +$1,605 +99% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.