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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61d | SkyLove7 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,544 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 61d | Fitting-Birdbath | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$107 +1.8% | 2 |
| 61d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b045218 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23? | BuyUp76¢ → 100¢ | $39,353 | +$12,764 +32% | 4 |
| 61d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04526 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23? | BuyDown45¢ → 0¢ | $6,960 | −$6,960 −100% | 6 |
| 61d | suntori | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23? | SellDown54¢ → 0¢ | $1,201 | +$1,201 +100% | — |
| 61d | 0xfd8e…bb98 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23? | SellUp61¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | −$938 −64% | — |
| 61d | gekuro | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23? | SellUp71¢ → 100¢ | $1,639 | −$681 −42% | — |
| 61d | easyclap2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23? | BuyDown36¢ → 0¢ | $4,542 | −$4,542 −100% | 8 |
| 61d | Zzzz87 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23? | BuyDown45¢ → 0¢ | $1,609 | −$1,609 −100% | 5 |
| 61d | 0xfd8e…bb98 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23? | SellDown68¢ → 0¢ | $3,159 | +$3,159 +100% | — |
| 61d | jerekel | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23? | SellDown85¢ → 0¢ | $1,031 | +$1,031 +100% | — |
| 61d | easyclap2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23? | BuyUp54¢ → 100¢ | $7,118 | +$6,063 +85% | 4 |
| 62d | NeoTigerX | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $1,533 | −$1,533 −100% | 4 |
| 62d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.