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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | SellUp>99¢ | $5,473 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | anon.1980.123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,574 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | Educated-Shoat4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $14,014 | +$97 +0.7% | 2 |
| 60d |  gangwarharshit | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,091 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | 16h | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,728 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 60d | Cavernous-Agriculture | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,046 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 60d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $3,294 | +$1,124 +34% | 4 |
| 60d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 60d | anon.1980.123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,548 | +$29 +1.2% | 2 |
| 60d | Noteagle2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $2,722 | +$43 +1.6% | 2 |
| 60d | gobblewobble3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $11,028 | +$570 +5.2% | 2 |
| 60d | hqcake03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$200 +11% | 3 |
| 60d |  coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $3,796 | +$949 +25% | 4 |
| 60d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | BuyDown60¢ → 0¢ | $1,166 | −$1,166 −100% | 4 |
| 60d | Well-Made-Birch-Allergist | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | SellDown41¢ → 0¢ | $1,486 | +$1,486 +100% | — |
| 60d | coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | BuyDown56¢ → 0¢ | $4,915 | −$4,915 −100% | 4 |
| 61d | NeoTigerX | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $3,224 | +$2,870 +89% | 4 |
| 61d | trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $2,842 | +$2,601 +92% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 24 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 24 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.