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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58d | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,273 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 58d | timgor | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,158 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 58d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $5,053 | +$638 +13% | 3 |
| 58d | suntori | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $1,689 | +$108 +6.4% | 3 |
| 58d | Zzzz87 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | +$170 +11% | 3 |
| 58d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26? | BuyUp20¢ → 0¢ | $1,435 | −$1,435 −100% | 6 |
| 59d | kingofcoinflips5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26? | BuyDown58¢ → 100¢ | $6,427 | +$4,640 +72% | 4 |
| 59d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26? | BuyUp46¢ → 0¢ | $3,963 | −$3,963 −100% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.