Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56d | trader-827e741f | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 27? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,942 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 57d | Educated-Shoat2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 27? | BuyUp>99¢ | $14,712 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 57d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 27? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $2,449 | +$81 +3.3% | 2 |
| 57d |  coinman27 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 27? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $24,638 | +$2,472 +10% | 3 |
| 57d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 27? | BuyUp60¢ → 100¢ | $1,472 | +$982 +67% | 4 |
| 57d | NeoTigerX | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 27? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $1,449 | −$1,449 −100% | 4 |
| 58d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 27? | BuyDown53¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
corleone40 sharestrulyalya12,834 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 27 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 27 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.