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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $8,070 | +$1,257 +16% | 3 |
| 78d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 78d | Sudden-Priority-Daffodil | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$102 +2.0% | 2 |
| 78d | hbqasbanana02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$122 +2.0% | 2 |
| 78d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BuyUp64¢ → 100¢ | $9,700 | +$5,356 +55% | 4 |
| 78d | 0xcf8e…32c0 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | SellUp86¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | −$182 −16% | — |
| 78d | hk04as04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$251 +25% | 4 |
| 78d | Unwelcome-Salon-SandwichNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | SellUp82¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$220 −22% | — |
| 78d | cobaltharborfmz | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BuyUp57¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$847 +76% | 5 |
| 78d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BuyDown66¢ → 0¢ | $2,746 | −$2,746 −100% | 5 |
| 78d | Zzzz87 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BuyDown66¢ → 0¢ | $2,141 | −$2,141 −100% | 5 |
| 78d | Unwelcome-Salon-SandwichNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BuyUp56¢ → 100¢ | $1,333 | +$1,047 +79% | 8 |
| 79d | madkkee3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | SellUp58¢ → 100¢ | $4,717 | −$3,378 −72% | — |
| 79d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $13,237 | −$13,237 −100% | 4 |
| 79d | Vague-Mass2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $4,235 | −$4,235 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.