Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $7,808 | +$241 +3.1% | 2 |
| 316d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced136 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11? | BuyDown86¢ → 100¢ | $11,753 | +$1,892 +16% | 3 |
| 316d | sxb | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | +$64 +5.3% | 2 |
| 317d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$130 +11% | 3 |
| 317d | Cdose | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11? | SellDown68¢ → 100¢ | $2,402 | −$1,136 −47% | — |
| 317d |  RobinMarketHood | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11? | BuyDown54¢ → 100¢ | $4,994 | +$4,257 +85% | 4 |
| 317d | Realistic-BroadNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 7 |
| 317d | amused85 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11? | BuyDown49¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | +$1,534 +105% | 4 |
| 317d | balabala0 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11? | BuyUp62¢ → 0¢ | $1,864 | −$1,864 −100% | 4 |
| 317d | RobinMarketHood | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11? | SellDown18¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | −$5,860 −456% | — |
| 317d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11? | BuyUp60¢ → 0¢ | $2,371 | −$2,371 −100% | 4 |
| 317d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced13 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11? | BuyUp54¢ → 0¢ | $2,159 | −$2,159 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 10 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 11 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 10 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 11 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.