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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +72 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307d | maru-xan | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,065 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 307d | 2026gogogo | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,109 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 308d | 0xdragon395 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,361 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 308d | Sharky69992 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $6,863 | +$257 +3.7% | 2 |
| 308d | apium87115 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$269 +2.7% | 2 |
| 308d | maru-xan2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $3,480 | +$308 +8.9% | 3 |
| 308d |  zwxokx | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $4,895 | +$237 +4.8% | 2 |
| 308d | 0xdragon395 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $2,198 | +$165 +7.5% | 2 |
| 308d | hello-teemo | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $1,683 | +$256 +15% | 2 |
| 308d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced1310 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | BuyUp66¢ → 100¢ | $18,289 | +$9,251 +51% | 4 |
| 308d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced139 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | BuyDown62¢ → 0¢ | $14,907 | −$14,907 −100% | 4 |
| 308d | kangkang123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | SellUp48¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | −$1,189 −108% | — |
| 308d | gigacoded | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | SellUp52¢ → 100¢ | $6,995 | −$6,446 −92% | — |
| 308d | exceeding6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | SellDown63¢ → 0¢ | $9,937 | +$9,937 +100% | — |
| 308d | easyclap5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | BuyDown81¢ → 0¢ | $15,435 | −$15,435 −100% | 3 |
| 308d | Creesy | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | BuyDown66¢ → 0¢ | $1,001 | −$1,001 −100% | 4 |
| 308d | gigacoded | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | BuyUp13¢ → 100¢ | $2,067 | +$14,043 +679% | 9 |
| 308d | exceeding16 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | BuyDown86¢ → 0¢ | $26,359 | −$26,359 −100% | 3 |
| 308d | PathologicPathologist | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | SellDown72¢ → 0¢ | $1,379 | +$1,379 +100% | — |
| 309d |  Bezdelnik | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$963 +96% | 3 |
Fartard2,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 18 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 19 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 18 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 19 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.