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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302d | LL.ETH | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 25? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,595 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 302d | extractionMeta | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 25? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,943 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 302d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 25? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,070 | +$33 +1.1% | 2 |
| 302d | Cc2026 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 25? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $2,707 | −$49 −1.8% | — |
| 302d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced132 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 25? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $4,685 | +$857 +18% | 3 |
| 302d | jacobib2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 25? | SellUp82¢ → 100¢ | $2,402 | −$510 −21% | — |
| 302d | Cc2026 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 25? | BuyUp64¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$563 +56% | 4 |
| 302d | jacobib | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 25? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$548 +54% | 4 |
| 302d | FTC2222 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 25? | SellUp75¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | −$365 −33% | — |
| 302d | LL.ETH | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 25? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$598 +30% | 4 |
| 303d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on December 25? | BuyUp54¢ → 100¢ | $1,805 | +$1,538 +85% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 24 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 25 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Dec 24 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 25 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.