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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 264d | irbisSS | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,431 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | AZwater2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyDown>99¢ | $69,930 | +$70 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d |  noreasapa2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyDown>99¢ | $39,960 | +$40 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | SkyLove7 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyDown>99¢ | $4,120 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | Rin2x3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyDown>99¢ | $36,118 | +$50 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d |  pandafam | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyDown>99¢ | $8,499 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | achaacha | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,753 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | nghiapham | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyDown>99¢ | $9,899 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | Hashbrown2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyDown>99¢ | $120,973 | +$165 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | CM.Lin | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,306 | +$16 +0.3% | 2 |
| 264d | Repulsive-MacroNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,097 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 264d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,024 | +$16 +0.8% | 2 |
| 264d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,804 | −$11 −0.6% | — |
| 264d | xberger5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | SellDown94¢ → 100¢ | $20,236 | −$1,362 −6.7% | — |
| 264d | carolinetaylor2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | SellDown94¢ → 100¢ | $8,310 | −$521 −6.3% | — |
| 264d | exceeding4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $7,440 | +$560 +7.5% | 2 |
| 264d | PaulVance | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyUp15¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 5 |
| 264d | Kindly-IgnoranceNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyDown75¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$2,000 +33% | 6 |
| 265d | MatrixMember | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyUp16¢ → 0¢ | $1,383 | −$1,383 −100% | 6 |
| 265d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b89661 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyDown49¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$1,232 +104% | 4 |
| 265d | vvzev | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,000 +100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.