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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 249d | 0x11981FC3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | SellDown>99¢ | $4,795 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 249d |  ZeinST | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | BuyDown>99¢ | $14,668 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 249d | 0x11981FC3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | BuyDown>99¢ | $4,795 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 249d |  shafshef12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 249d |  zeroprobability | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,500 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 249d | 0x1461cC6e2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | BuyDown>99¢ | $17,100 | +$26 +0.2% | 2 |
| 249d | Gingerale1809 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,442 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 249d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,558 | −$15 −0.6% | — |
| 249d | 0xe617…f2512 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $12,000 | +$140 +1.2% | 2 |
| 249d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,312 | +$27 +2.0% | 2 |
| 249d | redvinny | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | BuyDown83¢ → 100¢ | $2,686 | +$567 +21% | 3 |
| 249d |  RobinMarketHood | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | BuyDown55¢ → 100¢ | $5,336 | +$4,289 +80% | 5 |
| 249d | franhealy59 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | BuyUp71¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 4 |
| 249d | ace | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | SellUp78¢ → 0¢ | $2,496 | +$2,496 +100% | — |
| 249d | andrez | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | SellUp66¢ → 0¢ | $1,262 | +$1,262 +100% | — |
| 249d | wildjewel | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | SellDown74¢ → 100¢ | $1,394 | −$490 −35% | — |
| 249d | Bony-MotherNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | SellUp41¢ → 0¢ | $3,064 | +$3,064 +100% | — |
| 249d | Bony-MotherNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | BuyUp39¢ → 0¢ | $2,913 | −$2,913 −100% | 8 |
| 249d |  bymuril | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | SellUp39¢ → 0¢ | $2,431 | +$2,431 +100% | — |
| 249d | bymuril2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | BuyUp37¢ → 0¢ | $2,319 | −$2,319 −100% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.