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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 246d | 0x79b6…3799 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,127 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 246d | phucxuu | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,093 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 246d | Jiucai688 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,049 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 246d | Mediah | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,554 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 246d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,797 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 246d | xiangming | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,010 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 246d | Jiucai688 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$50 +5.0% | 2 |
| 246d | 5f5a4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | SellDown87¢ → 100¢ | $6,023 | −$903 −15% | — |
| 246d | 0x1461cC6e2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown75¢ → 100¢ | $7,218 | +$2,382 +33% | 4 |
| 246d | claudecoder342 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $3,055 | +$371 +12% | 3 |
| 246d | Upbeat-Moonlight | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | SellUp18¢ → 0¢ | $1,380 | +$1,380 +100% | — |
| 246d | gogchmnglyiyi | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | SellDown86¢ → 100¢ | $1,351 | −$220 −16% | — |
| 246d | Mediah | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown80¢ → 100¢ | $1,247 | +$308 +25% | 4 |
| 246d | Upbeat-Moonlight | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | BuyUp29¢ → 0¢ | $2,218 | −$2,218 −100% | 9 |
| 246d | Upbeat-Moonlight | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | SellDown68¢ → 100¢ | $2,180 | −$1,025 −47% | — |
| 246d | Upbeat-Moonlight | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown66¢ → 100¢ | $1,998 | +$1,048 +52% | 6 |
| 246d | gogchmnglyiyi | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown64¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$570 +57% | 4 |
| 247d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | BuyDown51¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$1,510 +94% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.