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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 245d | phucxuu | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,667 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp>99¢ | $21,058 | +$89 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 245d | Gingerale1809 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp>99¢ | $11,837 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d | 0x11981FC32 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,967 | +$23 +0.6% | 2 |
| 245d | ascetic0x | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,438 | +$12 +0.5% | 2 |
| 245d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$51 +1.0% | 2 |
| 245d | 0x1461cC6e4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $9,038 | +$1,433 +16% | 3 |
| 245d | 5f5a6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | SellUp86¢ → 100¢ | $8,394 | −$1,359 −16% | — |
| 245d | IH2P2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $2,051 | +$131 +6.4% | 2 |
| 245d | timeone | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | SellDown14¢ → 0¢ | $1,543 | +$1,543 +100% | — |
| 245d | timeone2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyDown25¢ → 0¢ | $3,279 | −$3,279 −100% | 10 |
| 245d | 0x1461cC6e2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyDown38¢ → 0¢ | $7,960 | −$7,960 −100% | 9 |
| 245d | Razjebunda | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$127 +12% | 3 |
| 245d | Dimpled-Croissant | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | +$84 +5.3% | 2 |
| 245d | Zealous-Bachelor2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | SellUp92¢ → 100¢ | $6,581 | −$554 −8.4% | — |
| 245d | Zealous-Bachelor | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $6,861 | +$438 +6.4% | 2 |
| 245d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$97 +7.5% | 2 |
| 245d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $4,300 | +$425 +9.9% | 3 |
| 245d | asyman23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | SellUp89¢ → 100¢ | $2,450 | −$299 −12% | — |
| 245d | cripes3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | SellUp76¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | −$361 −32% | — |
| 245d | cripes3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $1,825 | +$491 +27% | 3 |
| 245d | asyman23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $2,116 | +$633 +30% | 4 |
| 246d | phucxuu | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | +$576 +53% | 4 |
| 246d | CrimsonDragon2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,050 | −$2,050 −100% | 3 |
| 246d | CrimsonDragon | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | SellUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | — |
| 246d | CrimsonDragon | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$990 +98% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.