Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243d | phucxuu | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,742 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | edseah | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,638 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 243d | 0xe617…f251 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$35 +0.9% | 2 |
| 243d | 5f5a2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $3,338 | +$76 +2.3% | 2 |
| 243d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22? | SellDown97¢ → 100¢ | $2,002 | −$62 −3.1% | — |
| 243d | Vicious-Laugh | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22? | SellDown96¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | −$50 −4.2% | — |
| 243d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $1,809 | +$132 +7.3% | 3 |
| 243d |  shafshef12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22? | SellDown71¢ → 100¢ | $2,506 | −$1,023 −41% | — |
| 243d | shafshef12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22? | BuyDown72¢ → 100¢ | $2,539 | +$990 +39% | 4 |
| 243d | luffystrawhat | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22? | BuyUp33¢ → 0¢ | $2,699 | −$2,699 −100% | 7 |
| 244d | phucxuu | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22? | SellUp37¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | +$1,050 +100% | — |
| 244d | 0x1461cC6e | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $1,920 | −$1,920 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.