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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240d |  noreasapa3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25? | SellUp>99¢ | $19,041 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 240d | edseah | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,455 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 240d | case11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,613 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 240d | 0xe617…f2517 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $27,000 | +$294 +1.1% | 2 |
| 240d | fdgadva2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,458 | +$26 +1.1% | 2 |
| 240d |  shafshef12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,107 | −$26 −1.2% | — |
| 240d | Incognitoo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $20,906 | +$750 +3.6% | 2 |
| 240d | easyclap5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $23,953 | +$4,385 +18% | 3 |
| 240d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25? | SellUp90¢ → 100¢ | $2,473 | −$275 −11% | — |
| 240d | shafshef12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$633 +42% | 4 |
| 240d | 0x1461cC6e4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $5,309 | +$1,788 +34% | 4 |
| 241d | 0x1461cC6e2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25? | BuyDown45¢ → 0¢ | $3,179 | −$3,179 −100% | 5 |
| 241d | vvrzc2dd22 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,095 | −$2,095 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.