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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −64 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 239d | 0x79b6…3799 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,648 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 239d | madkkee | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,551 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 239d | 0x1461cC6e | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | BuyDown>99¢ | $6,194 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 239d | 0xe617…f2512 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | BuyDown>99¢ | $20,000 | +$97 +0.5% | 2 |
| 239d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | +$19 +1.6% | 2 |
| 239d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 239d | firstbitmsk999 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | SellDown90¢ → 100¢ | $5,383 | −$569 −11% | — |
| 239d | firstbitmsk999 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | BuyDown84¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$952 +19% | 3 |
| 239d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | SellDown54¢ → 100¢ | $1,745 | −$1,469 −84% | — |
| 239d |  shafshef12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | SellDown47¢ → 100¢ | $1,316 | −$1,474 −112% | — |
| 239d | shafshef12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | BuyDown54¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,289 +86% | 5 |
| 239d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | BuyDown53¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,746 +87% | 5 |
| 239d | phoku22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | SellUp59¢ → 0¢ | $8,709 | +$8,709 +100% | — |
| 239d | 0x1461cC6e2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | BuyUp62¢ → 0¢ | $6,422 | −$6,422 −100% | 4 |
| 240d | AR2122 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | SellDown55¢ → 100¢ | $4,572 | −$3,793 −83% | — |
| 240d | phoku22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | BuyUp63¢ → 0¢ | $6,766 | −$6,766 −100% | 3 |
| 240d | easypredict | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | BuyUp66¢ → 0¢ | $5,942 | −$5,942 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.