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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237d | Watery-Juice | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 237d |  Riskmaximized | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | SellDown>99¢ | $6,375 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | 0x79b6…3799 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,061 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | Each-Bread | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,640 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | Sharky6999 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | BuyDown>99¢ | $6,373 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 237d |  niitoxyz | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | BuyDown>99¢ | $11,968 | +$32 +0.3% | 2 |
| 237d | yes123321qw | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,455 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 237d | bhkMarvin | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | BuyDown>99¢ | $8,729 | +$26 +0.3% | 2 |
| 237d | edseah | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | BuyDown>99¢ | $6,242 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 237d | firstbitmsk999 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | SellDown95¢ → 100¢ | $4,918 | −$270 −5.5% | — |
| 237d | 5f5a3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $6,738 | +$409 +6.1% | 2 |
| 237d | Riskmaximized | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $6,176 | +$205 +3.3% | 2 |
| 237d | 5f5a2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | SellDown94¢ → 100¢ | $2,712 | −$163 −6.0% | — |
| 237d | emma3986 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $9,294 | +$287 +3.1% | 2 |
| 237d | Diligent-Component | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | +$74 +5.1% | 2 |
| 237d | MO5777 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | SellDown93¢ → 100¢ | $3,701 | −$279 −7.5% | — |
| 237d | firstbitmsk999 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$188 +3.8% | 2 |
| 237d | 0x1461cC6e4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $14,005 | +$959 +6.8% | 2 |
| 237d | easypredict4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | BuyDown77¢ → 100¢ | $24,579 | +$7,447 +30% | 4 |
| 238d | education1701 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | BuyUp39¢ → 0¢ | $1,245 | −$1,245 −100% | 4 |
| 238d | Dadyrus | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28? | BuyUp55¢ → 0¢ | $6,225 | −$6,225 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.