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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 261d | IwillRichSoon | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 261d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | SellDown>99¢ | $7,407 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 261d | Sore-Party | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,027 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 261d | SkyLove7 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyDown>99¢ | $4,282 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 261d | AZwater2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyDown>99¢ | $7,989 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 261d | 0x1461cC6e11 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyDown67¢ → 100¢ | $29,261 | +$14,237 +49% | 4 |
| 261d | jxckkk | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | SellDown>99¢ | $9,638 | −$34 −0.4% | — |
| 261d | jxckkk | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $9,574 | +$98 +1.0% | 2 |
| 261d | 5f5a5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | SellDown95¢ → 100¢ | $7,184 | −$346 −4.8% | — |
| 261d | GaleMartin3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $3,987 | +$255 +6.4% | 3 |
| 261d | IwillRichSoon5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyDown82¢ → 100¢ | $6,272 | +$1,343 +21% | 3 |
| 261d | 0x1461cC6e5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyUp36¢ → 0¢ | $7,914 | −$7,914 −100% | 9 |
| 261d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyDown70¢ → 100¢ | $13,159 | +$5,634 +43% | 4 |
| 261d | new-luck3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyDown72¢ → 100¢ | $6,666 | +$2,561 +38% | 4 |
| 261d | ascetic0x | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | SellDown72¢ → 100¢ | $6,440 | −$2,504 −39% | — |
| 261d | smartttt | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyDown66¢ → 100¢ | $5,271 | +$2,729 +52% | 5 |
| 261d | new-luck | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyUp40¢ → 0¢ | $1,320 | −$1,320 −100% | 5 |
| 261d | 0x15d4…d3062 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyDown59¢ → 100¢ | $3,394 | +$2,315 +68% | 4 |
| 261d | WebbBi | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyDown53¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$1,032 +89% | 4 |
| 261d | JohnyTurbo | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | SellUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,816 | +$1,816 +100% | — |
| 261d | 0x15d4…d306 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | SellDown48¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | −$1,352 −109% | — |
| 261d | Bruised-Tea3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | SellDown48¢ → 100¢ | $3,164 | −$3,399 −107% | — |
| 261d | jxckkk | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | SellUp48¢ → 0¢ | $2,247 | +$2,247 +100% | — |
| 261d | Mraka | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyUp54¢ → 0¢ | $1,784 | −$1,784 −100% | 4 |
| 261d | Bruised-Tea2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | SellUp50¢ → 0¢ | $2,354 | +$2,354 +100% | — |
| 261d |  trygln88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyDown65¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,071 +54% | 4 |
| 261d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | SellUp41¢ → 0¢ | $1,156 | +$1,156 +100% | — |
| 261d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyUp35¢ → 0¢ | $8,355 | −$8,355 −100% | 10 |
| 261d | exceeding8 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | SellDown58¢ → 100¢ | $13,741 | −$9,757 −71% | — |
| 262d | ace | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | SellDown50¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$998 −100% | — |
| 262d | ascetic0x | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyDown76¢ → 100¢ | $6,858 | +$2,173 +32% | 4 |
| 262d | GoldenSpin | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyDown68¢ → 100¢ | $2,101 | +$989 +47% | 4 |
| 262d | exceeding6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyDown83¢ → 100¢ | $8,669 | +$1,752 +20% | 3 |
| 262d |  sezo.eth | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | SellUp14¢ → 0¢ | $1,334 | +$1,334 +100% | — |
| 262d | cveeaz | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 3 |
Fartard5,017 shares
RandomDiceMan2,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.