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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 260d |  JohnVarvatos | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $10,135 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 260d | Sore-Party | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,084 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 260d |  noreasapa | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $29,970 | +$30 +0.1% | 2 |
| 260d |  ZeinST | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $18,372 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 260d | SkyLove7 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,876 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 260d | AZwater2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $13,269 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 260d |  PredictionYogi | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $6,475 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 260d | 0x1461cC6e3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $14,277 | +$571 +4.0% | 2 |
| 260d | burann | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,772 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 260d | burann | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $10,402 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 260d | Imaginative-Whack | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,971 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 260d | Shallow-Actor | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,597 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 260d | Rin2x2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $7,021 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 |
| 260d | Krag676 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,005 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 260d | CM.Lin | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $9,112 | +$18 +0.2% | 2 |
| 260d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $24,950 | +$50 +0.2% | 2 |
| 260d |  wishA | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,135 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 260d | Inexperienced-DiplomacyNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,256 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 260d | penguinrainbows | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,000 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 260d | eddee | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,080 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 260d | achaacha | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,501 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 260d | Reliable-Sari | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $3,549 | +$20 +0.6% | 2 |
| 260d | lichong358 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $14,195 | +$175 +1.2% | 2 |
| 260d | jxckkk | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | SellDown97¢ → 100¢ | $7,548 | −$201 −2.7% | — |
| 260d | mxs | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,447 | +$20 +0.8% | 2 |
| 260d | JohnVarvatos | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$145 +1.5% | 2 |
| 260d | Sore-Party | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$33 +3.1% | 2 |
| 260d | kingofcoinflips6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $18,265 | +$1,015 +5.6% | 2 |
| 260d | exceeding24 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown86¢ → 100¢ | $40,154 | +$6,533 +16% | 3 |
| 260d | yyzzrebirth | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | SellDown94¢ → 100¢ | $19,902 | −$1,253 −6.3% | — |
| 260d | yyzzrebirth | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $20,514 | +$640 +3.1% | 2 |
| 260d | 5f5a | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $2,144 | +$113 +5.3% | 2 |
| 260d | 5f5a5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | SellDown91¢ → 100¢ | $7,680 | −$727 −9.5% | — |
| 260d | IwillRichSoon | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown86¢ → 100¢ | $1,373 | +$224 +16% | 3 |
| 260d | exceeding2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | SellDown87¢ → 100¢ | $4,309 | −$654 −15% | — |
| 260d | new-luck2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown76¢ → 100¢ | $2,573 | +$819 +32% | 4 |
| 260d | IH2P | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | +$135 +12% | 3 |
| 260d | smartttt | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown84¢ → 100¢ | $5,035 | +$959 +19% | 3 |
| 261d |  1026446010 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown69¢ → 100¢ | $1,253 | +$563 +45% | 4 |
| 261d |  ssroy | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 3 |
| 261d | mrroy2874 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,256 | −$1,256 −100% | 3 |
aldynspeedruns25,214 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.