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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +72 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259d |  RobinMarketHood | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $7,093 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 260d |  b7ewcv76we87fbx6x1356 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,268 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 260d | Whalealways | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,250 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 260d | Sushiswag | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,041 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 260d | Sore-Party | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,150 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 260d |  noreasapa | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $17,153 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 260d | EricaXBT | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 260d | AHMaelstrom | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $9,308 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 260d | 0xb7cb…83a5 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,489 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 260d |  niitoxyz2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $8,991 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 260d | lexusowner | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 260d | PMzhuanyong | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,568 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 260d | b7ewcv76we87fbx6x1356 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,212 | +$60 +1.4% | 2 |
| 260d | Sore-Party | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$35 +3.1% | 2 |
| 260d | 0x1461cC6e4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp57¢ → 100¢ | $6,364 | +$4,786 +75% | 5 |
| 260d | hakhdn2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp59¢ → 100¢ | $2,579 | −$1,809 −70% | — |
| 260d | 5f5a2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp78¢ → 100¢ | $2,193 | −$622 −28% | — |
| 260d |  Nunca.Pasa.Nada | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp72¢ → 100¢ | $8,455 | −$3,356 −40% | — |
| 260d | yyzzrebirth | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellDown48¢ → 0¢ | $2,001 | +$2,001 +100% | — |
| 260d | 0x1461cC6e5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyDown62¢ → 0¢ | $5,886 | −$5,886 −100% | 4 |
| 260d | bhkMarvin | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellDown41¢ → 0¢ | $1,690 | +$1,690 +100% | — |
| 260d | ac397 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellDown64¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | +$1,150 +100% | — |
| 260d | 0x5bfc…9d21 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellDown61¢ → 0¢ | $1,071 | +$1,071 +100% | — |
| 260d | ac397 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyDown73¢ → 0¢ | $1,316 | −$1,316 −100% | 4 |
| 260d | Rgill | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp25¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | −$3,916 −303% | — |
| 260d | smartttt3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyDown85¢ → 0¢ | $9,125 | −$9,125 −100% | 3 |
| 260d | exceeding8 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellDown84¢ → 0¢ | $9,925 | +$9,925 +100% | — |
| 260d | 1337zzz1337 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyDown88¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 3 |
| 260d | ohysyes | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellDown82¢ → 0¢ | $2,809 | +$2,809 +100% | — |
| 260d | 0x38cd…92a8 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp16¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | −$5,856 −527% | — |
| 260d | Nunca.Pasa.Nada | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp22¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$3,446 +345% | 4 |
| 260d |  jinyali02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyDown84¢ → 0¢ | $2,074 | −$2,074 −100% | 3 |
| 260d | arweer | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyDown89¢ → 0¢ | $2,266 | −$2,266 −100% | 3 |
| 260d | exceeding12 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyDown85¢ → 0¢ | $19,406 | −$19,406 −100% | 3 |
| 260d | lengjingyidian | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyDown95¢ → 0¢ | $2,735 | −$2,735 −100% | 2 |
| 260d |  nikkachu | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp13¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$7,459 +669% | 5 |
| 261d | fangniuwa | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp25¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | −$2,993 −297% | — |
| 261d | ohysyes | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyDown60¢ → 0¢ | $2,051 | −$2,051 −100% | 4 |
| 261d | fangniuwa | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$1,040 +92% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
