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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 257d | 0x38cd…92a8 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,235 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 257d |  Wahhdahhhellielon | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 257d |  qswsf | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,027 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 257d | Sore-Party | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,205 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 257d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,856 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 257d | koliy | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,564 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 257d |  nicoo | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 257d | Melody-L | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,689 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 257d | bhkMarvin | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,821 | +$15 +0.3% | 2 |
| 257d | 0x38cd…92a8 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,032 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 257d | Xgs | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,864 | +$23 +0.6% | 2 |
| 257d | Sore-Party | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | +$17 +1.4% | 2 |
| 258d | Melody-L | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $4,128 | +$172 +4.2% | 2 |
| 258d | ace | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $2,790 | −$211 −7.6% | — |
| 258d | 5f5a2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $2,981 | −$239 −8.0% | — |
| 258d | jxckkk | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | SellUp93¢ → 100¢ | $2,456 | −$181 −7.4% | — |
| 258d | jxckkk | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $2,033 | +$203 +10.0% | 3 |
| 258d | 5f5a2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $2,701 | +$418 +15% | 3 |
| 258d | 0x1461cC6e5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $9,748 | +$5,142 +53% | 4 |
| 258d | Aixcer | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$3,000 +100% | 4 |
| 258d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8? | BuyDown39¢ → 0¢ | $1,270 | −$1,270 −100% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.