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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256d | andersero | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,350 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 256d |  trump-general | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,048 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 256d | Sore-Party | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,241 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 256d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,289 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 256d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $12,547 | +$140 +1.1% | 2 |
| 256d | andersero | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | +$16 +1.2% | 2 |
| 256d | 5f5a4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $5,171 | +$207 +4.0% | 2 |
| 256d | BigChad | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown89¢ → 100¢ | $1,892 | −$234 −12% | — |
| 256d | 0x1461cC6e11 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown78¢ → 100¢ | $16,690 | +$4,621 +28% | 3 |
| 256d | 5f5a4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown93¢ → 100¢ | $7,204 | −$542 −7.5% | — |
| 256d | cqcmelkor | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | −$9 −0.9% | — |
| 256d | Gingerale1809 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,828 | +$49 +1.0% | 2 |
| 256d | BigChad | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $2,062 | +$64 +3.1% | 2 |
| 256d | Sore-Party | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | +$37 +3.1% | 2 |
| 256d | gogchmnglyiyi | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown85¢ → 100¢ | $3,075 | −$531 −17% | — |
| 256d | new-luck2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown82¢ → 100¢ | $4,492 | +$1,017 +23% | 4 |
| 256d | ronyrocks | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown85¢ → 100¢ | $7,415 | −$1,308 −18% | — |
| 256d | dravey | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown85¢ → 100¢ | $11,033 | −$2,023 −18% | — |
| 256d | StanleyKubrick1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyUp32¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 7 |
| 256d | jxckkk2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown65¢ → 100¢ | $4,959 | +$2,687 +54% | 4 |
| 256d | 0x38cd…92a8 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown51¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | −$1,132 −95% | — |
| 256d | dravey2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown54¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$6,056 +87% | 4 |
| 256d | gogchmnglyiyi | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown41¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,830 +142% | 5 |
| 257d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyUp57¢ → 0¢ | $3,557 | −$3,557 −100% | 4 |
| 257d | 0x1461cC6e | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyUp56¢ → 0¢ | $1,459 | −$1,459 −100% | 4 |
| 257d | 0x38cd…92a82 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SellUp51¢ → 0¢ | $2,380 | +$2,380 +100% | — |
| 257d | jxckkk | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown51¢ → 100¢ | $1,408 | −$1,338 −95% | — |
| 257d | ronyrocks | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown46¢ → 100¢ | $3,708 | +$4,320 +117% | 5 |
| 257d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown42¢ → 100¢ | $1,939 | −$2,677 −138% | — |
| 257d | dravey | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | SellUp58¢ → 0¢ | $12,586 | +$12,586 +100% | — |
| 257d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown38¢ → 100¢ | $1,739 | +$2,877 +165% | 5 |
| 257d | dravey | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyUp74¢ → 0¢ | $16,000 | −$16,000 −100% | 4 |
| 257d | RolyPoliOli | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyUp53¢ → 0¢ | $1,928 | −$1,928 −100% | 4 |
| 257d | cveeaz | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.