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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 286d | multistratpooh | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,193 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 286d |  noreasapa | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,229 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 286d | SkyLove7 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,177 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 286d | yzfcqf888666 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,703 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 286d | JustMME | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,820 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 286d |  kboss | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,950 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 286d | VGKAKAXI | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | BuyDown>99¢ | $4,053 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 286d | easyclap3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $17,295 | +$1,848 +11% | 3 |
| 286d | Candid-Closure | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | BuyDown97¢ → 100¢ | $2,258 | +$70 +3.1% | 2 |
| 286d |  0x77772 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $2,769 | +$146 +5.3% | 2 |
| 286d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896616 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | BuyDown77¢ → 100¢ | $21,019 | +$6,246 +30% | 4 |
| 286d | exceeding12 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | BuyDown84¢ → 100¢ | $19,409 | +$3,835 +20% | 3 |
| 286d | RolyPoliOli | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | SellDown93¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | −$81 −7.5% | — |
| 287d | Lemon3000 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | SellDown63¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$609 −59% | — |
| 287d | Lemon3000 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | BuyDown53¢ → 100¢ | $2,143 | +$1,900 +89% | 4 |
| 287d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $4,990 | −$4,990 −100% | 3 |
| 287d |  Bezdelnik | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,828 | −$1,828 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.